Global assessment of experimental climate warming on tundra vegetation: heterogeneity over space and time
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Global assessment of experimental climate warming on tundra vegetation : heterogeneity over space and time. / Elmendorf, Sarah C.; Henry, Gregory H.R.; Hollister, Robert D.; Björk, Robert G.; Bjorkman, Anne D.; Callaghan, Terry V.; Collier, Laura Siegwart; Cooper, Elisabeth J.; Cornelissen, Johannes H.C.; Day, Thomas A.; Fosaa, Anna Maria; Gould, William A.; Gretarsdottir, Jarngerdur; Harte, John; Hermanutz, Luise; Hik, David S.; Hofgaard, Annika; Jarrad, Frith; Jonsdottir, Ingibjorg Svala; Keuper, Frida; Klanderud, Kari; Klein, Julia A.; Koh, Saewan; Kudo, Gaku; Lang, Simone I.; Loewen, Val; May, Jeremy L.; Mercado, Joel; Michelsen, Anders; Molau, Ulf; Myers-Smith, Isla H.; Oberbauer, Steven F.; Pieper, Sara; Post, Eric; Rixen, Christian; Robinson, Clare H.; Schmidt, Niels Martin; Shaver, Gaius R.; Stenstrom, Anna; Tolvanen, Anne; Totland, Orjan; Troxler, Tiffany; Wahren, Carl-Henrik; Webber, Patrick J.; Welker, Jeffery M.; Wookey, Philip A.
In: Ecology Letters, Vol. 15, No. 2, 2012, p. 164-175.Research output: Contribution to journal › Journal article › Research › peer-review
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Global assessment of experimental climate warming on tundra vegetation
T2 - heterogeneity over space and time
AU - Elmendorf, Sarah C.
AU - Henry, Gregory H.R.
AU - Hollister, Robert D.
AU - Björk, Robert G.
AU - Bjorkman, Anne D.
AU - Callaghan, Terry V.
AU - Collier, Laura Siegwart
AU - Cooper, Elisabeth J.
AU - Cornelissen, Johannes H.C.
AU - Day, Thomas A.
AU - Fosaa, Anna Maria
AU - Gould, William A.
AU - Gretarsdottir, Jarngerdur
AU - Harte, John
AU - Hermanutz, Luise
AU - Hik, David S.
AU - Hofgaard, Annika
AU - Jarrad, Frith
AU - Jonsdottir, Ingibjorg Svala
AU - Keuper, Frida
AU - Klanderud, Kari
AU - Klein, Julia A.
AU - Koh, Saewan
AU - Kudo, Gaku
AU - Lang, Simone I.
AU - Loewen, Val
AU - May, Jeremy L.
AU - Mercado, Joel
AU - Michelsen, Anders
AU - Molau, Ulf
AU - Myers-Smith, Isla H.
AU - Oberbauer, Steven F.
AU - Pieper, Sara
AU - Post, Eric
AU - Rixen, Christian
AU - Robinson, Clare H.
AU - Schmidt, Niels Martin
AU - Shaver, Gaius R.
AU - Stenstrom, Anna
AU - Tolvanen, Anne
AU - Totland, Orjan
AU - Troxler, Tiffany
AU - Wahren, Carl-Henrik
AU - Webber, Patrick J.
AU - Welker, Jeffery M.
AU - Wookey, Philip A.
PY - 2012
Y1 - 2012
N2 - Understanding the sensitivity of tundra vegetation to climate warming is critical to forecasting future biodiversity and vegetation feedbacks to climate. In situ warming experiments accelerate climate change on a small scale to forecast responses of local plant communities. Limitations of this approach include the apparent site-specificity of results and uncertainty about the power of short-term studies to anticipate longer term change. We address these issues with a synthesis of 61 experimental warming studies, of up to 20 years duration, in tundra sites worldwide. The response of plant groups to warming often differed with ambient summer temperature, soil moisture and experimental duration. Shrubs increased with warming only where ambient temperature was high, whereas graminoids increased primarily in the coldest study sites. Linear increases in effect size over time were frequently observed. There was little indication of saturating or accelerating effects, as would be predicted if negative or positive vegetation feedbacks were common. These results indicate that tundra vegetation exhibits strong regional variation in response to warming, and that in vulnerable regions, cumulative effects of long-term warming on tundra vegetation and associated ecosystem consequences have the potential to be much greater than we have observed to date.
AB - Understanding the sensitivity of tundra vegetation to climate warming is critical to forecasting future biodiversity and vegetation feedbacks to climate. In situ warming experiments accelerate climate change on a small scale to forecast responses of local plant communities. Limitations of this approach include the apparent site-specificity of results and uncertainty about the power of short-term studies to anticipate longer term change. We address these issues with a synthesis of 61 experimental warming studies, of up to 20 years duration, in tundra sites worldwide. The response of plant groups to warming often differed with ambient summer temperature, soil moisture and experimental duration. Shrubs increased with warming only where ambient temperature was high, whereas graminoids increased primarily in the coldest study sites. Linear increases in effect size over time were frequently observed. There was little indication of saturating or accelerating effects, as would be predicted if negative or positive vegetation feedbacks were common. These results indicate that tundra vegetation exhibits strong regional variation in response to warming, and that in vulnerable regions, cumulative effects of long-term warming on tundra vegetation and associated ecosystem consequences have the potential to be much greater than we have observed to date.
U2 - 10.1111/j.1461-0248.2011.01716.x
DO - 10.1111/j.1461-0248.2011.01716.x
M3 - Journal article
C2 - 22136670
VL - 15
SP - 164
EP - 175
JO - Ecology Letters
JF - Ecology Letters
SN - 1461-023X
IS - 2
ER -
ID: 41822484